I did a blog on Atlantic Wind and Solar, Inc. (AWSL) a few months back and am bringing it back to my members again (link to previous blog).  I think that AWSL might be a good trade for the near term and the long term.

To review:  AWSL is primarily a solar company that has taken advantage of the Ontario Government’s Feed-In-Tariff program to corner the market on rooftop solar installations in that province.  They have other projects outside of that jurisdiction, but the first projects that will make money for AWSL will be in Ontario.  I would encourage readers to view AWSL’s site.  Here is what I wrote in my previous blog:

“By partnering with corporations, associations, land and business owners, AWSL will install, service, manage solar and wind installations that can range from a single rooftop to a full parks.  They are touting relationships that they are working on that will drive them to profitability and a pre-eminent position in the industry in a short time.”

AWSL has been a hot topic on the boards and Penny Stock Chaser has been flogging it unmercifully.  AWSL was even on Tim Sykes radar for awhile and that is the company’s own fault.  They have decided to go the stock promotion route quite vigorously.  But, it is said in this business that small cap stocks don’t move without promotion…and, I believe it, too.

Let’s strip away the hype and take a look at AWSL.  Here is what I have learned from numerous sources:  PR, talks with their IR people, boards, 3rd-party articles:

• AWSL is for real;
• AWSL has partnered with major real estate developers in Ontario province like Cushman Wakefield and Remington Properties to lock up rooftops and other properties;
• They have secured a large number of contracts with the local utilities under power purchase agreements;
• They are working on several large debt financings that will capitalize the company in a big way;
• They are making noises about getting uplisted to larger exchanges (that is always a good thing for stocks)

Here is the chart so you can see what I am talking about:

• AWSL is trading in a range of between $2.50 and $2.75
• MACD is bearish, but is strengthening
• Volume has tailed off, but history shows that it can take off at any time
• Stochastics are neutral and could turn positive with more buying action

I own shares in AWSL and I bought in at around $3.75.  I guess I believed what I was writing.  The stock dividend brought my basis down to the level where I am in the black again.  However, I would like to see all of this potential become realized and I will watch with interest what effect the future news has on the stock.  I know that the shorters are betting that AWSL is all hype and will “fold like a cheap suit”.  I don’t agree.

I will actually end this blog with what I ended the last one:

“My conclusion is that traders should radar list AWSL.  If you trade it, make sure you have a tight trailing stop on it.  Take the gains as they present themselves.  If the stock goes up appreciably, you can relax the trailing stop so you don’t get “stopped out” on any dips (and there will be some IMO).  If this stock gets hot, it could be a $10.00 stock based upon the buzz about it…..Don’t trust buzz though.  I would like to see AWSL start booking deals, signing contracts, getting necessary financing, become a reporting company, etc…, but until then I still remain a fan.”

Good luck and good trading,

Jeffrey Dean

Editor-in-Chief

Disclosure: Long AWSL

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