I have known about Adaptec, Inc. for many years…even traded it once or twice.  It has mostly fallen off of my radar screen lately because it really hasn’t been that attractive.  I was doing screens on Stock Fetcher this morning and I was amazed to see that ADPT was on my screen for stocks that are down 8 days or more.  That speaks opportunity to me, but not in the way I normally speak about stocks.

Adaptec, Inc. provides hardware and software data center solutions globally.  Founded in 1981, it may not be around very much longer.

If you were going to put a company in your “back pocket” for awhile, this might be the one.  I am typically a short-term holder and after the most recent market meltdown, I am going to stick to that philosophy.  A long term trade to me is a month.  But, it might be a good strategy to put some Adaptec shares away in an account that is long-term.

Why?  Because of several simple reasons:

1. The company is for sale.  In December of ‘09, ADPT announced the engagement of Blackstone Advisory Partners to ” assist in the sale of the company’s assets and operations”;
2. The company is currently trading at less than its net cash position
3. The company is trading for less than tangible book value

At $3.16 in cash at the latest Q, ADPT is clearly a “free stock”.  It is unclear what premium its operations and assets will command, but I don’t think I am going out on a limb by saying that ADPT will sell for more than cash.

Here is a chart that tells the tale of the once-mighty ADPT:

• Sellers are dominating clearly…very few up days over the past two months
• The MACD is strongly bearish, but the histogram indicates that the strength of the signal might be waning
• The stochastics are oversold (no surprise there)

Here is ADPT’s website so you can do your own due diligence.

ADPT may have some bounce in the near term, especially if the stochastics continue to show an oversold signal.  However, the pay day for traders in ADPT will be the sale.  I am very curious about how the company is valuing itself.

Good luck and good trading,

Jeffrey Dean

Editor-in-Chief

P.S. - I am working out of the home today and I got one of those special stories that every work-at-home parent dreams of.  My absolutely adorable 4-yr. old Daughter, Teagan, needed to be in my lap while I wrote this blog.  Needless to say, I wasn’t very efficient.  Who cares?  I am reminded how blessed I am…by her and her three siblings.

Here is a picture so you can see just how blessed I am.

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DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS REPORT. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Neither InvestorSoup.com nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in the mentioned company; nor have they received compensation of any kind for any of the companies listed in this communication. The information contained in our report is not an offer to buy or sell securities. We distribute opinions, comments and information free of charge exclusively to individuals who wish to receive them.

A little company called Green Energy Live, Inc. (GELV) literally came out of nowhere in December of 2009 for my members.  A MASSIVE gain of 120% was the highlight of a very good December for Soup members.

Well, GELV is back! I track companies that we have done alerts for in the past and am excited to bring this one back to members.

Everyone knows that past performance is no predictor of the future, so I am not guaranteeing anything.  However, I still like GELV and think that it might be a great trade, again! continue

My apologies to the movie Network, but I am really ticked at Kender Energy, Inc. (KNDR).  Here is a company that seemingly had “the world on a string” and I believe has really let traders down.  Right now, the company is at the mercy of the discussion boards and chat rooms.

What do I mean ” at the mercy of discussion boards and chat rooms”?  It means that the company has, for all intents and purposes, disappeared.  The last PR was December of ‘09.  The PR before that was for the signing up of a distributor in one of the largest markets in the world…..Hawaii?  Two problems with that is that Hawaii is tiny AND KNDR doesn’t even have a working prototype.   The only “news” I get is on the boards and you know how reliable that is!

KNDR has a very exciting solar technology that they are touting.  (Web link here)  I have talked to a number of people about KNDR and they all agree that IF they can commercialize it, the technology could be huge.  According to my sources, KNDR MIGHT have an Alpha system by mid-2010.  What is an investor to do until then?

Since I like KNDR’s technology so much, I have gone over and above the “call of duty” to do research on them.  I called their IR firm (who is out of business and not returning calls), I have emailed the company on numerous occasions and I have talked with others about KNDR.  The company never got back to me and no one had any inside info on the company.

Here is their chart….You can see a steady decline and a lack of interest on the part of traders.

Will KNDR become a sub-penny stock?  It could, but I doubt it.  The company needs to put out some meaningful PR and let traders know that they have a pulse. If they get some news, this stock could rocket! There are a lot of people in the stock and they are rooting for it, too.

Be careful of the boards.  Many of the posts that I am seeing are highly suspect.

I am rooting for KNDR and their “solar engine”.  I am just not rooting that hard.

Good luck and good trading,

Jeffrey Dean

Editor’s note on 2-4-10 - I got an email from Robert F about KNDR that I thought made great sense.  Here is what he wrote:  “Read your blog, I agree with you that the company has been too silent. You would think that at a time when the company is in need of investor support, that they would give shareholders more transparency.” I couldn’t agree more

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DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS REPORT. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Neither InvestorSoup.com nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in the mentioned company; nor have they received compensation of any kind for any of the companies listed in this communication. The information contained in our report is not an offer to buy or sell securities. We distribute opinions, comments and information free of charge exclusively to individuals who wish to receive them.

I did a screen for small cap stocks on a losing streak of over 7 days and came up with several Junior Gold stocks:  Golden Star Resources, LTD (GSS) and Apollo Gold Corporation (AGT).  One is a company that I would suggest putting on the radar and the other is one that I be very cautious with.

Part of the reason that these companies are here is because of the slide in the price of Gold.  Once gold resumes its upwards momentum, stocks like these could become supercharged

Be careful with  Apollo Gold

Apollo Gold is a junior miner that is increasing revenues incrementally, but not making any money while doing it.  Their losses, through 3 quarters, is almost $38MM.  I realize that a great percentage of that are paper losses from writedown of assets in 2009.  Then, the theory goes, if they have a strong balance sheet things should be o.k.  Unfortunately, they don’t have a strong balance sheet.  They have lousy liquidity ratios and  long-term debt that is due and payable and has been accelerated.  Things are so bad that the company has put its 50% interest in the Montana Tunnels Mine property up for sale.

Here is the chart with my annotations:

I would never suggest holding AGT long-term, but you can play the volatility.  This is not a stock for the faint of heart.

A Golden Star?

Like AGT, GSS can show a steady climb since December of 2008 when it was trading for only 50 cents.  GSS is significantly larger than AGT and could book over $350MM in sales for 2009.  However, they are showing losses quarter over quarter, too.  Their balance sheet is not pristine, either.  Their ratios are better, but GSS has taken on a great deal of debt.  The company is trumpeting the fact that 2009 was their best year ever, but they need to continue to increase revenues and get a handle on expenses for the investing public to be convinced.

GSS should be watched to see if it continues to decline and touches the next support level.  I don’t think it will. Seller exhaustion may have set in and prices could rise.

Both companies, I can only imagine, are hoping and praying that Gold prices come back.  And, it is not like gold prices have crashed, either. The spot price at 10:33 a.m today as I was writing this was $1,098.55.  But, in the mind of traders and investors, gold prices are “DOWN”.

Both are good radar stocks and could run on news specific to the company or about gold in general.

Good luck and good trading,

Jeffrey Dean

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DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS REPORT. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Neither InvestorSoup.com nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in the mentioned company; nor have they received compensation of any kind for any of the companies listed in this communication. The information contained in our report is not an offer to buy or sell securities. We distribute opinions, comments and information free of charge exclusively to individuals who wish to receive them.

I have a wife that loves to shop.  The recession has only made her a better shopper.  She looks for value and quality for herself and my two daughters.

Today’s alert company is right up her alley! — PanGlobal Brands, Inc. (PNGB)

If you’re looking for a good trade, it should be on your radar as well! continue