5
Mar

That will come crashing to earth soon!

MedCareers Group, Inc. (MCGI) has been a great story to watch over the past few days.  Lots of PR and a frothy stock price and some very impressive gains.  The question for me is it real and will it last?

It appears that it only became active recently after changing its name from RX Scripted, Inc. in early 2010.

They must have been saving up press releases because they have flooded the airwaves with several in rapid succession.  With the purchase of medcareers.com, they became Med Careers, Inc.  That book of business has been enhanced with the announcement of the purchase of two additional companies: Staff MD and workabroad.com.

It appears that they are in the online medical staffing business based upon the PR’s I’ve read.  The website gives some amorphous description of the business they are in. …that doesn’t really match their recent PR’s.

As you can tell, I am highly skeptical of their business. It seems like it is a phenomenon of some good PR and the expectation that this company is going to be a “player”.  The challenging thing is to put some kind of revenue and profits numbers to all this PR.  MCGI isn’t telling us, so I am assuming that the company is more sizzle than steak.

For as fuzzy as I think their website is, you can’t argue with this chart:

mcgiNote:  The issue is so new that my old charting standby, Stockcharts.com, hasn’t even listed MCGI in its database

Will this stock be a penny stock before it is a $5 stock?  I think so.

The Stochastics are very overbought, but until we get more trading history it is almost impossible to point to that indicator to say that it is going to fall.  What can they follow this hype up with?  Eventually traders will become numb to news about MCGI. Financial transparency, real revenues and profits will keep this stock afloat.  When the good news runs out, so will MCGI.

Good luck and good trading,

Jeffrey Dean

Editor

Oh, by the way:  The answer to the question I posed above (The question for me is it real and will it last?) is NO and NO!

Category : General Commentary | Blog Bookmark and Share
5
Mar

Americans are Keeping their Cars Longer and that’s Why GNAU (at just a dime a share) is Driving Down the Money Highway!

Good Morning!

Today’s alert company is:

General Automotive Company (GNAU) continue

Category : Daily Soup | Blog Bookmark and Share
4
Mar

You would have to live on the moon not to see and be impressed by Zanett, Inc. (ZANE)

A $0.31 cent stock YESTERDAY, ZANE issued some great news about landing a huge number of new contracts (Read it here) and it took off.  It reached a HIGH of $2.50 before closing at $2.09. That is impressive by any measure.

The caution here is this is a company whose average daily volume was 16K shares and it has traded 7.9MM shares today!…on a public float of only 3.3MM shares.

Here is the chart:

zane

Wow and Wow! This ship will crash to Earth at some point, but not yet.  Anybody doing a Tim Sykes and shorting the stock today is in a world of hurt.  Watch the trailing indicators (MACD, RSI and Stochastics) to see when the right time to short is.  Be careful, this could be a multi-day runner.  The first day of something THIS BIG with real news and HUGE investor interest could mean that this hangs around here…or even advances.

ZANE has made some people fortunes today.  Let’s see if we can make a fortune on the way down, too.

Good luck and good trading,

Jeffrey Dean

Editor

Category : General Commentary | Blog Bookmark and Share
4
Mar

Cord Blood America was one of my best picks for 2009 (not my best, but close).  I had correctly called its September move (as the chart below will indicate).  I think that it might be time to take another look at Cord Blood America, Inc. (CBAI). Here is a link to my earlier blog.

Truthfully, it has been flogged unmercifully in the penny stock press.  It has been hailed as everything from the next Genentech to the next Spongetech.  I think the truth is somewhere in the middle.

CBAI is a stock built on hype.  It really hasn’t proven that its business model can actually work.  My wife and I have 4 kids and after each birth we were given the opportunity to harvest cord blood.  We declined each time…too expensive, the value to our children wasn’t clear in our mind, logistics of storing and accessing it….a whole host of reasons.

Having said all this, I think that CBAI might actually make it….at least long enough for traders to make some money. I have been reading the press releases and the company is taking great pains to both dazzle and teach.  Glitzy Las Vegas-style openings are contrasted with PR’s that tell of debt extinguishments, agreements signed, alliances gained, etc…  The truth is that CBAI lives a hand-to-mouth existence.  It has little or no cash and negative cash flow.  Debt is less of a problem than it was in ‘09 with some debt being retired, but they are not “out of the woods”.

I think the chart is positive and if CBAI can catch fire, I would expect to see some strong gains.

Here is the chartcbai

CBAI seems to be consolidating at this level (as my chart indicates).    Any break below the current price of $.009 and the stock should be avoided.  I don’t believe that it will weaken, but, then again, my crystal ball is in the shop.

Good luck and good trading,

Jeffrey Dean

Editor

Category : General Commentary | Blog Bookmark and Share
2
Mar

Sirius XM Radio (SIRI) has made an almost miraculous comeback from irrelevancy (and penny stock land) over the past few months.  SIRI has seen its stock rise from the low $.50’s at the end of 2009 to a recent high of around $1.15 just a few days ago.  This was very good news for the company.  Since it was facing a NASDAQ delisting and with the stock trading above the magic $1.00 mark for a period of time, SIRI was thinking it was “scot-free”.  Think again.

Last week’s drop (and this week’s continuing drop) was not surprising given the overheated condition of the stock from all indicators.  It is not clear what effect short sellers had in the decline since the short squeeze had been on for many months with the advance of the stock price.  SIRI fought through all of those challenges….that is until now.

SIRI has one more chance to regain compliance with NASDAQ regs if it can trade above $1.00 for 10 consecutive days before the March 15th date imposed by the exchange.  I don’t see that happening.  The reverse split that has been discussed seems the only option now despite management’s contention that they will be able to get a variance on appeal.  NOT BLOODY LIKELY.

SIRI should have executed the reverse split when they were so strong late last year.  The market was really pumped on SIRI and its progress.  Institutions were buying and retail investors were very happy with the run-up.  Now with a delisting notice sure to come, short sellers will be circling SIRI like sharks looking for blood.  I think the short term outlook for SIRI is definitely bearish.

Here is a chart that shows what I mean.

siri2

Is SIRI a dead dog?  Will shorters drive this one right back down to 50 cents (or lower) again.  I don’t think so.  SIRI is in a “stew of its own making”, but I think will be a good stock to buy on dips.  Right now, I would hold off (unless you are shorting the stock).  The boards and investor sentiment are telling me that this one has farther to fall.  Retail investors might not like it when they do the reverse stock split, but IMO it is inevitable.

Do your own due diligence.  It continues to be a hot topic on the boards that I monitor and it is fun to read what people write.  Make up your own mind.

Good luck and good trading,

Jeffrey Dean

Editor-in-Chief

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DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS REPORT. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Neither InvestorSoup.com nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in the mentioned company; nor have they received compensation of any kind for any of the companies listed in this communication. The information contained in our report is not an offer to buy or sell securities. We distribute opinions, comments and information free of charge exclusively to individuals who wish to receive them.

Category : General Commentary | Blog Bookmark and Share
2
Mar

Most traders are familiar with…


BONANZA OIL & GAS, INC. (BGOI)


Over the past few months, BGOI has been in the news a lot—and rightly so!

The stock zoomed from 1 cent in mid-December to 7 cents in late January.

Then, the profit taking hit and the stock plummeted back down to around 1 cent again. And that’s were we are today!

It’s Déjà vu all over again!

continue

Category : Daily Soup | Blog Bookmark and Share
1
Mar

First a personal update:  Friday’s blog was kind of “doom and gloom” when I was stuck in the middle of a power outage (second year in a row for NH).  Even thought I got power back relatively quickly, I am still shopping online for an emergency generator.  Family is fine, house is safe and my section of NH is no longer a third-world country.  It is amazing how we take important things (like power) for granted.

Now…on to stocks.

My scans today produced NightHawk Radiology Holdings, Inc. (NHWK). Nighthawk is at the end of a prolonged decline in its stock price IMO.  This might be a good time to put it on the radar.  If it recovers from its February swoon and embarks on a climb like last year, you will like me very, very much.

Here is what I am talking about (1 yr. chart for NHWK)

nhwk-year

NHWK is actually a very impressive company.  They have a dominant market position in their industry.  They provide services to radiology groups and hospitals throughout the United States.  NHWK provides a complete suite of solutions to doctors and hospitals, including professional services, business services, and its advanced, proprietary clinical workflow technology.  The company claims to provide round-the-clock services for for approximately 1,560 sites or 27% of all hospitals in the United States.   That is pretty impressive!

What is also impressive is that they make money.  Revenues of $162 million in ‘09, but a loss in 2009 due to a $68.7MM  goodwill impairment charge (so, I wouldn’t hold it against them).  L-T debt of $77MM, but great liquidity ratios.  Plenty of cash in the bank ($32.29MM) and over $1.37 in cash per share.

Here is the 3 month chart so traders can see in greater detail what is going on.

nhwk-q

Here is my final analysis.  The table below is a chart of NHWK’s highs and lows during the last year.  Lots of volatility and nice bounces off lows to post highs again.  A trader could make a great profit of trading these swings.

Common Stock Price
High Low

Year Ended December 31, 2009

First Quarter

$ 5.16 $ 2.22

Second Quarter

$ 4.44 $ 2.64

Third Quarter

$ 7.68 $ 3.65

Fourth Quarter

$ 7.21 $ 4.20

Do you see why I say that this is a great radar stock?

I will be watching it myself.

Good luck and good trading,


Jeffrey Dean

Editor

Category : General Commentary | Blog Bookmark and Share
26
Feb

I am sitting in Panera working on my computer because my home is in the dark.   My part of New Hampshire got hammered by a wind and rain storm of epic proportions last night.  I spent a fun evening bailing out my basement and was winning the battle until I lost power (Wet/Dry Vacs don’t work without power).

At 11:45 p.m., I finally gave up.  My kids were sleeping snug in their beds and I just threw another blanket on them and went to bed myself.

When I woke up this morning, my property looked like a war zone.  Branches were strewn everywhere and a number of trees were down.  The wind was so intense it  even tore parts of my siding off.  It even tore the caps off of the railings on my front porch.

The good news in all this is that my family is safe.  We will get power back and life will return to normal.  Or, maybe not.

I am very concerned about the world that I live in.  I feel that American society and world society is balanced on a knife’s edge.  Economic forces beyond my understanding control my life.  If another AIG, ENRON, Merrill Lynch, etc. hits the skids what will happen too my world?  I make a very good living in the stock market.  What happened if this depression deepens and is extended.  What if there is a financial meltdown?  I am too far down the financial totem pole for anyone in Washington, D.C. to care.

Last year, New Hampshire was hit by an record ice storm.  We lost power for 5 days then and  our house temperatures inside were below freezing.  I was not prepared for this disaster, but kind friends took us in and we made it through o.k.  But, for several days last year, large parts of NH was a “third world country”.

I have started researching subsistence living since  I am responsible for my family.  I have 4 wonderful kids and a beautiful wife.  They need me to have the answers to questions that are not comfortable to ask.  Can I care for my family if some cataclysm hits? (natural or man made)  What happens if we have a Haiti-type disaster.  Total anarchy had sprung up in that country by the third day after the quake.  Why should the U.S. be any different?

As you can tell, my head is spinning.  I will follow up on this…count on it!

God Bless,

Jeffrey Dean

Category : General Commentary | Blog Bookmark and Share
19
Feb

The last time I blogged Coates International, Ltd. (COTE) was to tell traders to short them (Read it here).  And, I was right.  I liked the company  fundamentally, but thought that the chart was setting it up for a fall.  COTE blazed a trail across the markets back in July of ‘09 almost tripling in value from around 40 cents to $1.15.  In my earlier blog, I said the following:  “The stock might be due for a correction in the near future.  Any kind of reasonable “support” for the stock is around the 50 cent mark….so, it could fall a long way!”

Three days later, the stock was at 53 cents! A penny stock, once again!

Now, the chart is turned around.  The stock price is depressed and I think that COTE should be watched for a bounce in the near term (and it could be the next hot stock if they start landing some contracts).

Let’s talk about the company:  COTE is the creator, developer and manufacturer of the patented Coates spherical rotary valve system (CSRV System) for use in various piston-driven internal combustion engines.  It is a technology that has been under development for over 15 years and may now be “ready for its closeup”.  The company is claiming that they have created the internal combustion engine of the future.  They claim significant benefits compared to the engines of today: Increased Engine Efficiency, Lower Emissions, Reduced Lubrication Requirements, Cheaper to Manufacture, and Adaptable to Multiple Fuel Types.  Here is a link to a very informative article done on COTE by Industry Online.  I am not an automotive engineer, but it sounds like COTE has something in their CSRV technology.

With the income of a Canadian sale for $10MM ($8 MM of which remains a receivable), its Chinese manufacturing initiatives and several Beta sites that are under negotiation, it might be a good time to put COTE on your trading radar.

The chart looks good for gains!

  • COTE is trading near its 52-week low ($0.28);
  • Watch to see if this level acts as support for the stock…any break below 32 cents should be watched to see if a new bottom develops;
  • The MACD is drifting….with good news and some buying, it could turn bullish very quickly.

cote

Another factor to consider about COTE that gives me comfort is the insider ownership.  I like the fact that insiders own over 80% of the company.  COTE hasn’t been an overnight sensation.  My impression is that they have a core group of founders and executives that believe in the mission of the company and are in for the long haul.  I hope they get rewarded, because that means I will be rewarded too.  I have put COTE on my own personal trading radar with the idea of buying shares in the very near future.  I have a call in to the company and will update my blog with any intelligence I gather.

Do your due diligence!

Good luck and good trading,

Jeffrey Dean

Editor-in-Chief

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DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS REPORT. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Neither InvestorSoup.com nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in the mentioned company; nor have they received compensation of any kind for any of the companies listed in this communication. The information contained in our report is not an offer to buy or sell securities. We distribute opinions, comments and information free of charge exclusively to individuals who wish to receive them.

Category : General Commentary | Blog Bookmark and Share
8
Feb

Winning Brands is currently a penny stock that has flirted with sub-penny stock  status very recently and then seemed like it was going to be  dollar stock…all in the space of a few weeks.

As you will see in the accompanying chart, Winning Brands, Inc. (WNDB) has been on a roller coaster ride of late.

I would look for some more confirmation that the stock is basing here at these levels.  It is highly volatile and appears to be under accumulation.

wndb

Winning Brands is one of those “take it on faith” stocks….because, there is not a great deal of  information available about them other than some PR, a website and a few filings.  They have made claims that they are going to be fully reporting.  I have talked to the company and they say that they are working aggressively towards that goal.

The company itself has a complete line of eco-friendly cleaning products that they are selling through retail outlets worldwide.  I have some experience in retail and while it is important for WNBD to get broad distribution, it is also important that they back up sales with ads, buzz, point-of-sale promotions….all stuff that costs money that WMBD doesn’t have yet.

They are on a fund raising campaign and will need every penny to make a splash in the market.  I did a very unscientific study and called my local paint store that carried WNBD’s products.  The counter person, at first, didn’t even know they carried it.  I insisted because I saw it on the site and she then located it.  I was hoping for a “gee whiz” testimonial about how this was the greatest product ever.  But, I didn’t get that.

That is, however, what WNBD needs to achieve….. A buzz that will carry the name of the company and its products to the four corners of the globe, literally.  Their “Extreme Home Makeover” tie-in is great, but where are the Billy Mays-type infomercials?  According to a December PR, they are working on a Direct Response ad program.  If that gets seen, it could be HUGE for the company.

WNBD might be a good little trader. It is building a following from what I read on the boards and it has a “story to tell”.  Any break below $.01 and the stock should be avoided.  But, if it can hold this level, then it might be a good entry point.  News and rumor are going to drive this company’s stock.

Be fast, be nimble with WNBD.

Good luck and good trading,

Jeffrey Dean

Note: Yahoo! Finance lists the name of WNBD as Global eTutor, Inc.  Google Finance and Pinksheets.com list it as Winning Brands, Inc.  This must be one of those corporate shells issues.

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Category : General Commentary | Blog Bookmark and Share

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