12
Mar

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. (PEIX) has been one of my most popular research reports for 2010.  I have the software that allows me to track clicks and time spent reading the info and PEIX has been very popular.  And, I can see why.

PEIX has made two major “stair steps” in their chart on their way from 40 cents to a 52-week high of $2.75.  Now, the stock is trading around $2.00 which seems to be a good support level for it.  It is perched on the 50-day MA which could give support to the “next leg up”.  The question is “will PEIX make the next leg up?”

My annotated chart makes a good case for some short term gains:

peix2

PEIX has coped very well through all of its troubles over the past few years.   PEIX seemed to be the poster child for the problems with the ethanol industry.   In early 2009, the bankruptcy of its operating subsidiaries was a desperation move for a company that was in deep trouble.  Here is a link to a Chapter 11 summary.

The ethanol industry crawled off its death bed with the news that the U.S. EPA made positive comments relating to a reports regarding E15 gasoline, which if approved, would boost the legal percentage of ethanol in gasoline by 50%.   The resumption of operations at several of its plants was news that the market approved of.  A drop in corn prices, increases in the price of oil and an easing of the ethanol oversupply all contributed to a positive sentiment in the minds of investors.

Of course, any bad news will drop a hammer on PEIX.  I think that it is a little fragile given the history of the ethanol business.  The shorts are around 10% of the float, so there is a constituency is hoping that the hammer falls.   It may fall long-term, but I am not a long-term investor.

The chart, to me, looks good for a little “pop”.  Any break below the support that I charted and the stock should be avoided.

Trade like you mean it!

Jeffrey Dean

Editor

——————————————————————————————————————————————

Investor Soup

DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS REPORT. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Neither InvestorSoup.com nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in the mentioned company; nor have they received compensation of any kind for any of the companies listed in this communication. The information contained in our report is not an offer to buy or sell securities. We distribute opinions, comments and information free of charge exclusively to individuals who wish to receive them.

Category : General Commentary | Blog Bookmark and Share
11
Mar
I am sure you would like to meet a small company
with friends in high places?

Then let me introduce:

Juhl Wind, Inc. (JUHL)

Category : Daily Soup | Blog Bookmark and Share
4
Mar

You would have to live on the moon not to see and be impressed by Zanett, Inc. (ZANE)

A $0.31 cent stock YESTERDAY, ZANE issued some great news about landing a huge number of new contracts (Read it here) and it took off.  It reached a HIGH of $2.50 before closing at $2.09. That is impressive by any measure.

The caution here is this is a company whose average daily volume was 16K shares and it has traded 7.9MM shares today!…on a public float of only 3.3MM shares.

Here is the chart:

zane

Wow and Wow! This ship will crash to Earth at some point, but not yet.  Anybody doing a Tim Sykes and shorting the stock today is in a world of hurt.  Watch the trailing indicators (MACD, RSI and Stochastics) to see when the right time to short is.  Be careful, this could be a multi-day runner.  The first day of something THIS BIG with real news and HUGE investor interest could mean that this hangs around here…or even advances.

ZANE has made some people fortunes today.  Let’s see if we can make a fortune on the way down, too.

Good luck and good trading,

Jeffrey Dean

Editor

Category : General Commentary | Blog Bookmark and Share
2
Mar

Sirius XM Radio (SIRI) has made an almost miraculous comeback from irrelevancy (and penny stock land) over the past few months.  SIRI has seen its stock rise from the low $.50’s at the end of 2009 to a recent high of around $1.15 just a few days ago.  This was very good news for the company.  Since it was facing a NASDAQ delisting and with the stock trading above the magic $1.00 mark for a period of time, SIRI was thinking it was “scot-free”.  Think again.

Last week’s drop (and this week’s continuing drop) was not surprising given the overheated condition of the stock from all indicators.  It is not clear what effect short sellers had in the decline since the short squeeze had been on for many months with the advance of the stock price.  SIRI fought through all of those challenges….that is until now.

SIRI has one more chance to regain compliance with NASDAQ regs if it can trade above $1.00 for 10 consecutive days before the March 15th date imposed by the exchange.  I don’t see that happening.  The reverse split that has been discussed seems the only option now despite management’s contention that they will be able to get a variance on appeal.  NOT BLOODY LIKELY.

SIRI should have executed the reverse split when they were so strong late last year.  The market was really pumped on SIRI and its progress.  Institutions were buying and retail investors were very happy with the run-up.  Now with a delisting notice sure to come, short sellers will be circling SIRI like sharks looking for blood.  I think the short term outlook for SIRI is definitely bearish.

Here is a chart that shows what I mean.

siri2

Is SIRI a dead dog?  Will shorters drive this one right back down to 50 cents (or lower) again.  I don’t think so.  SIRI is in a “stew of its own making”, but I think will be a good stock to buy on dips.  Right now, I would hold off (unless you are shorting the stock).  The boards and investor sentiment are telling me that this one has farther to fall.  Retail investors might not like it when they do the reverse stock split, but IMO it is inevitable.

Do your own due diligence.  It continues to be a hot topic on the boards that I monitor and it is fun to read what people write.  Make up your own mind.

Good luck and good trading,

Jeffrey Dean

Editor-in-Chief

—————————————————————————————————————————————————

<!– /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:”Cambria Math”; panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:roman; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-1610611985 1107304683 0 0 159 0;} @font-face {font-family:Cambria; panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:roman; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-1610611985 1073741899 0 0 159 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-unhide:no; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:”"; margin:0in; margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:”Times New Roman”,”serif”; mso-fareast-font-family:”Times New Roman”;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; mso-default-props:yes; font-size:10.0pt; mso-ansi-font-size:10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;} @page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.25in 1.0in 1.25in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} –>

DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS REPORT. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Neither InvestorSoup.com nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in the mentioned company; nor have they received compensation of any kind for any of the companies listed in this communication. The information contained in our report is not an offer to buy or sell securities. We distribute opinions, comments and information free of charge exclusively to individuals who wish to receive them.

Category : General Commentary | Blog Bookmark and Share
1
Mar

First a personal update:  Friday’s blog was kind of “doom and gloom” when I was stuck in the middle of a power outage (second year in a row for NH).  Even thought I got power back relatively quickly, I am still shopping online for an emergency generator.  Family is fine, house is safe and my section of NH is no longer a third-world country.  It is amazing how we take important things (like power) for granted.

Now…on to stocks.

My scans today produced NightHawk Radiology Holdings, Inc. (NHWK). Nighthawk is at the end of a prolonged decline in its stock price IMO.  This might be a good time to put it on the radar.  If it recovers from its February swoon and embarks on a climb like last year, you will like me very, very much.

Here is what I am talking about (1 yr. chart for NHWK)

nhwk-year

NHWK is actually a very impressive company.  They have a dominant market position in their industry.  They provide services to radiology groups and hospitals throughout the United States.  NHWK provides a complete suite of solutions to doctors and hospitals, including professional services, business services, and its advanced, proprietary clinical workflow technology.  The company claims to provide round-the-clock services for for approximately 1,560 sites or 27% of all hospitals in the United States.   That is pretty impressive!

What is also impressive is that they make money.  Revenues of $162 million in ‘09, but a loss in 2009 due to a $68.7MM  goodwill impairment charge (so, I wouldn’t hold it against them).  L-T debt of $77MM, but great liquidity ratios.  Plenty of cash in the bank ($32.29MM) and over $1.37 in cash per share.

Here is the 3 month chart so traders can see in greater detail what is going on.

nhwk-q

Here is my final analysis.  The table below is a chart of NHWK’s highs and lows during the last year.  Lots of volatility and nice bounces off lows to post highs again.  A trader could make a great profit of trading these swings.

Common Stock Price
High Low

Year Ended December 31, 2009

First Quarter

$ 5.16 $ 2.22

Second Quarter

$ 4.44 $ 2.64

Third Quarter

$ 7.68 $ 3.65

Fourth Quarter

$ 7.21 $ 4.20

Do you see why I say that this is a great radar stock?

I will be watching it myself.

Good luck and good trading,


Jeffrey Dean

Editor

Category : General Commentary | Blog Bookmark and Share
25
Feb

American Sierra Gold Corporation (AMNP) was all over the boards just a few months back.  An exciting new issue with two strong gold properties in Nevada and Mexico, it seemed to have no limits as to how far it could go.  However, like all promoted stocks the promotion eventually stopped, traders took profits and the stock “came back to earth”.

AMNP is at an interesting place right now.  The stock chart seems to indicate that the stock has stabilized from looking at the MACD, RSI and its price action recently.  Having said that, it made a similar base at around 47 cents in late January, but then pushed through that to now trade around 38 cents.  Is this the bottom?…I hope so!

Let’s take a look at why AMNP captured traders’ imaginations in ‘09. AMNP has two projects that seem to have great potential.  Its Urique project in the Sierra Madre Mountains of Mexico is their home run.  It is contiguous to NYSE listed company Gold Corp’s (GG) El Sauzal mine which is very profitable.  To the end of 2008, that mine had produced 1,072,000 ounces of gold and Goldcorp has reported proven and probable reserves of 470,000 ounces left on the property.  the Urique Project, encompassing 71,334 acres, has the potential to be as prolific as the El Sauzal mine according to the company.  However, the earliest revenue from that mine is expected to be 2012.

Its Discovery Day project in Nevada is small in comparison to the Urique project, but is projected to be revenue generating much, much sooner.  In fact, estimates I have read claim that the mine will produce significant revenues for AMNP by the end of the 2010 fiscal year (7-31-10).  Recent press releases touted the fact that the mine has been reopened and they are working towards production in the near term.

AMNP has what every mining and exploration company needs: Financing. The company announced, with great fanfare, an equity-based financing agreement with Tobermory Holding Ltd., a European institutional investor.  According to the latest Q available, AMNP has made two draws against that agreement totalling $800,000.  The initial commitment is for $6MM with up to an additional $10.5MM of financing available.  Of course, AMNP must hit certain milestones, but the fact that they have the financing is huge.  I will read their latest Q (whenever it is issued) to see just how the company is progressing.

AMNP’s Chart…with my annotations

amnp-3

AMNP has got some real potential IMO.  However….remember that for every surge in price, traders who are stuck in  losing position will sell into any strength.  There are a lot of angry traders out there….from reading the boards.  If the company decides to promote their stock again, that could make this thing fly.  Don’t forget to factor in the price of gold into your equation.  Now that the hype and hysteria have died down, AMNP actually looks like a good company with some exciting prospects.

Good luck and good trading,

Jeffrey Dean

Editor-in-Chief

__________________________________________________________________________________

DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS REPORT. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Neither InvestorSoup.com nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in the mentioned company; AMNP was previously subject to a now terminated promotion agreement. The information contained in our report is not an offer to buy or sell securities. We distribute opinions, comments and information free of charge exclusively to individuals who wish to receive them.

Category : General Commentary | Blog Bookmark and Share
24
Feb

I must apologize first for not blogging on Monday and Tuesday, but I was on a ski trip with the family and not thinking about the markets.  My alert for Monday (BLGW) is doing very well I’m happy to report.

I jumped back in to my research this morning and came across a great company that has solid prospects:  Cytomedix, Inc., a leading developer of biologically active regenerative therapies for wound care, inflammation and angiogenesis:physiological process involving the growth of new blood vessels from pre-existing vessels).

GTF’s AutoloGel System utilizes a unique technology that enables rapid isolation and activation of platelet rich plasma (PRP) from a patient’s own blood. The PRP is subsequently processed to produce a gel for application to the wound bed, re-establishing a balance needed for natural healing to occur. AutoloGel contains growth factors, cytokines and chemokines that are essential for normal wound healing. The AutoloGel System is used at the point-of care and is the only PRP System indicated for use in exuding wounds such as leg ulcers, pressure ulcers, diabetic ulcers and for the management of mechanically or surgically-debrided wounds.  The AutoloGel System is the only PRP system that is FDA cleared for the care of wounds.

The company is generating revenues and those revenues are increasing significantly.  They have cash-in-the-bank and NO long term debt….always a positive sign for me.  With the 2009 capital raise, that bought the company some time to execute on their plan.  Based upon what I have seen, they have high expectations for their AutoloGel System.

The chart indicates that the stock is trading near the bottom of its most recent trading range.

  • After a steep selloff, the stock might be ready to run again
  • An Amex stock, GTF is trading at attractive levels
  • The strongest support is at 40 cents (see the chart)…. I don’t think it will drop that far, but it could

gtf

I am recommending that traders put GTF on their radar screens.  I think the downside risk is low, but the upside is strong.

As always, do your own due diligence.

Good luck and good trading,

Jeffrey Dean

Editor

Category : General Commentary | Blog Bookmark and Share
19
Feb

The last time I blogged Coates International, Ltd. (COTE) was to tell traders to short them (Read it here).  And, I was right.  I liked the company  fundamentally, but thought that the chart was setting it up for a fall.  COTE blazed a trail across the markets back in July of ‘09 almost tripling in value from around 40 cents to $1.15.  In my earlier blog, I said the following:  “The stock might be due for a correction in the near future.  Any kind of reasonable “support” for the stock is around the 50 cent mark….so, it could fall a long way!”

Three days later, the stock was at 53 cents! A penny stock, once again!

Now, the chart is turned around.  The stock price is depressed and I think that COTE should be watched for a bounce in the near term (and it could be the next hot stock if they start landing some contracts).

Let’s talk about the company:  COTE is the creator, developer and manufacturer of the patented Coates spherical rotary valve system (CSRV System) for use in various piston-driven internal combustion engines.  It is a technology that has been under development for over 15 years and may now be “ready for its closeup”.  The company is claiming that they have created the internal combustion engine of the future.  They claim significant benefits compared to the engines of today: Increased Engine Efficiency, Lower Emissions, Reduced Lubrication Requirements, Cheaper to Manufacture, and Adaptable to Multiple Fuel Types.  Here is a link to a very informative article done on COTE by Industry Online.  I am not an automotive engineer, but it sounds like COTE has something in their CSRV technology.

With the income of a Canadian sale for $10MM ($8 MM of which remains a receivable), its Chinese manufacturing initiatives and several Beta sites that are under negotiation, it might be a good time to put COTE on your trading radar.

The chart looks good for gains!

  • COTE is trading near its 52-week low ($0.28);
  • Watch to see if this level acts as support for the stock…any break below 32 cents should be watched to see if a new bottom develops;
  • The MACD is drifting….with good news and some buying, it could turn bullish very quickly.

cote

Another factor to consider about COTE that gives me comfort is the insider ownership.  I like the fact that insiders own over 80% of the company.  COTE hasn’t been an overnight sensation.  My impression is that they have a core group of founders and executives that believe in the mission of the company and are in for the long haul.  I hope they get rewarded, because that means I will be rewarded too.  I have put COTE on my own personal trading radar with the idea of buying shares in the very near future.  I have a call in to the company and will update my blog with any intelligence I gather.

Do your due diligence!

Good luck and good trading,

Jeffrey Dean

Editor-in-Chief

********************************************************************************************

DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS REPORT. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Neither InvestorSoup.com nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in the mentioned company; nor have they received compensation of any kind for any of the companies listed in this communication. The information contained in our report is not an offer to buy or sell securities. We distribute opinions, comments and information free of charge exclusively to individuals who wish to receive them.

Category : General Commentary | Blog Bookmark and Share
18
Feb

Beacon Enterprise Solutions Group, Inc.

Trading Symbol: BEAC.OB

Good and Great Morning!

BEAC’s corporate motto should be “Get ‘er done”.


To say that BEAC is just another, run-of-the-mill IT/Telecom firm—would be the furthest thing from the truth! continue

Category : Daily Soup | Blog Bookmark and Share
17
Feb

I have known about Adaptec, Inc. for many years…even traded it once or twice.  It has mostly fallen off of my radar screen lately because it really hasn’t been that attractive.  I was doing screens on Stock Fetcher this morning and I was amazed to see that ADPT was on my screen for stocks that are down 8 days or more.  That speaks opportunity to me, but not in the way I normally speak about stocks.

Adaptec, Inc. provides hardware and software data center solutions globally.  Founded in 1981, it may not be around very much longer.

If you were going to put a company in your “back pocket” for awhile, this might be the one.  I am typically a short-term holder and after the most recent market meltdown, I am going to stick to that philosophy.  A long term trade to me is a month.  But, it might be a good strategy to put some Adaptec shares away in an account that is long-term.

Why?  Because of several simple reasons:

  1. The company is for sale.  In December of ‘09, ADPT announced the engagement of Blackstone Advisory Partners to ” assist in the sale of the company’s assets and operations”;
  2. The company is currently trading at less than its net cash position
  3. The company is trading for less than tangible book value

At $3.16 in cash at the latest Q, ADPT is clearly a “free stock”.  It is unclear what premium its operations and assets will command, but I don’t think I am going out on a limb by saying that ADPT will sell for more than cash.

Here is a chart that tells the tale of the once-mighty ADPT:

  • Sellers are dominating clearly…very few up days over the past two months
  • The MACD is strongly bearish, but the histogram indicates that the strength of the signal might be waning
  • The stochastics are oversold (no surprise there)

adpt

Here is ADPT’s website so you can do your own due diligence.

ADPT may have some bounce in the near term, especially if the stochastics continue to show an oversold signal.  However, the pay day for traders in ADPT will be the sale.  I am very curious about how the company is valuing itself.

Good luck and good trading,

Jeffrey Dean

Editor-in-Chief

P.S. - I am working out of the home today and I got one of those special stories that every work-at-home parent dreams of.  My absolutely adorable 4-yr. old Daughter, Teagan, needed to be in my lap while I wrote this blog.  Needless to say, I wasn’t very efficient.  Who cares?  I am reminded how blessed I am…by her and her three siblings.

Here is a picture so you can see just how blessed I am.

teagan5***********************************************************************************************************

DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS REPORT. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Neither InvestorSoup.com nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in the mentioned company; nor have they received compensation of any kind for any of the companies listed in this communication. The information contained in our report is not an offer to buy or sell securities. We distribute opinions, comments and information free of charge exclusively to individuals who wish to receive them.

Category : General Commentary | Blog Bookmark and Share

About Us

Traders make huge profits from penny stocks! Our Hot stock alerts are sent the second we identify likely stocks that we feel will fly! We are passionate about small caps, penny stocks and sub-penny stocks. We are the resource that you need to profit from penny stocks. Bookmark us and check back frequently. Read more »

Subscribe

Subsribe via RSS Feed Reader

Contact Us

InvestorSoup.com
4828 S. Broadway #182 | Tyler, TX 75703

Privacy Policy
close this