Pacific Ethanol, Inc. (PEIX) has been one of my most popular research reports for 2010. I have the software that allows me to track clicks and time spent reading the info and PEIX has been very popular. And, I can see why.
PEIX has made two major “stair steps” in their chart on their way from 40 cents to a 52-week high of $2.75. Now, the stock is trading around $2.00 which seems to be a good support level for it. It is perched on the 50-day MA which could give support to the “next leg up”. The question is “will PEIX make the next leg up?”
My annotated chart makes a good case for some short term gains:
PEIX has coped very well through all of its troubles over the past few years. PEIX seemed to be the poster child for the problems with the ethanol industry. In early 2009, the bankruptcy of its operating subsidiaries was a desperation move for a company that was in deep trouble. Here is a link to a Chapter 11 summary.
The ethanol industry crawled off its death bed with the news that the U.S. EPA made positive comments relating to a reports regarding E15 gasoline, which if approved, would boost the legal percentage of ethanol in gasoline by 50%. The resumption of operations at several of its plants was news that the market approved of. A drop in corn prices, increases in the price of oil and an easing of the ethanol oversupply all contributed to a positive sentiment in the minds of investors.
Of course, any bad news will drop a hammer on PEIX. I think that it is a little fragile given the history of the ethanol business. The shorts are around 10% of the float, so there is a constituency is hoping that the hammer falls. It may fall long-term, but I am not a long-term investor.
The chart, to me, looks good for a little “pop”. Any break below the support that I charted and the stock should be avoided.
Trade like you mean it!
Jeffrey Dean
Editor
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Investor Soup
DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS REPORT. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Neither InvestorSoup.com nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in the mentioned company; nor have they received compensation of any kind for any of the companies listed in this communication. The information contained in our report is not an offer to buy or sell securities. We distribute opinions, comments and information free of charge exclusively to individuals who wish to receive them.
Then let me introduce:
Juhl Wind, Inc. (JUHL)
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That will come crashing to earth soon!
MedCareers Group, Inc. (MCGI) has been a great story to watch over the past few days. Lots of PR and a frothy stock price and some very impressive gains. The question for me is it real and will it last?
It appears that it only became active recently after changing its name from RX Scripted, Inc. in early 2010.
They must have been saving up press releases because they have flooded the airwaves with several in rapid succession. With the purchase of medcareers.com, they became Med Careers, Inc. That book of business has been enhanced with the announcement of the purchase of two additional companies: Staff MD and workabroad.com.
It appears that they are in the online medical staffing business based upon the PR’s I’ve read. The website gives some amorphous description of the business they are in. …that doesn’t really match their recent PR’s.
As you can tell, I am highly skeptical of their business. It seems like it is a phenomenon of some good PR and the expectation that this company is going to be a “player”. The challenging thing is to put some kind of revenue and profits numbers to all this PR. MCGI isn’t telling us, so I am assuming that the company is more sizzle than steak.
For as fuzzy as I think their website is, you can’t argue with this chart:
Note: The issue is so new that my old charting standby, Stockcharts.com, hasn’t even listed MCGI in its database
Will this stock be a penny stock before it is a $5 stock? I think so.
The Stochastics are very overbought, but until we get more trading history it is almost impossible to point to that indicator to say that it is going to fall. What can they follow this hype up with? Eventually traders will become numb to news about MCGI. Financial transparency, real revenues and profits will keep this stock afloat. When the good news runs out, so will MCGI.
Good luck and good trading,
Jeffrey Dean
Editor
Oh, by the way: The answer to the question I posed above (The question for me is it real and will it last?) is NO and NO!
Good Morning!
Cyber crime is a profitable business. So profitable in fact that it’s surpassed illegal drug trafficking as a felon’s #1 moneymaker.
And wireless email users are a juicy and easy target.
· Wireless email users are expected to rise to 300 million this year
· Worldwide there’s 1 known hacker for every 15 wireless email users
· 10 million Americans will become victims of identity theft this year.
· An identity thief has only a 1 in 700 chance of being caught by law enforcement
· 70% of identity theft victims may never recover from damages to their credit rating
· 47% of identity theft victims may not be able to get a loan continue
Most traders are familiar with…
BONANZA OIL & GAS, INC. (BGOI)
Over the past few months, BGOI has been in the news a lot—and rightly so!
The stock zoomed from 1 cent in mid-December to 7 cents in late January.
Then, the profit taking hit and the stock plummeted back down to around 1 cent again. And that’s were we are today!
It’s Déjà vu all over again!
First a personal update: Friday’s blog was kind of “doom and gloom” when I was stuck in the middle of a power outage (second year in a row for NH). Even thought I got power back relatively quickly, I am still shopping online for an emergency generator. Family is fine, house is safe and my section of NH is no longer a third-world country. It is amazing how we take important things (like power) for granted.
Now…on to stocks.
My scans today produced NightHawk Radiology Holdings, Inc. (NHWK). Nighthawk is at the end of a prolonged decline in its stock price IMO. This might be a good time to put it on the radar. If it recovers from its February swoon and embarks on a climb like last year, you will like me very, very much.
Here is what I am talking about (1 yr. chart for NHWK)
NHWK is actually a very impressive company. They have a dominant market position in their industry. They provide services to radiology groups and hospitals throughout the United States. NHWK provides a complete suite of solutions to doctors and hospitals, including professional services, business services, and its advanced, proprietary clinical workflow technology. The company claims to provide round-the-clock services for for approximately 1,560 sites or 27% of all hospitals in the United States. That is pretty impressive!
What is also impressive is that they make money. Revenues of $162 million in ‘09, but a loss in 2009 due to a $68.7MM goodwill impairment charge (so, I wouldn’t hold it against them). L-T debt of $77MM, but great liquidity ratios. Plenty of cash in the bank ($32.29MM) and over $1.37 in cash per share.
Here is the 3 month chart so traders can see in greater detail what is going on.
Here is my final analysis. The table below is a chart of NHWK’s highs and lows during the last year. Lots of volatility and nice bounces off lows to post highs again. A trader could make a great profit of trading these swings.
| Common Stock Price | ||||||
| High | Low | |||||
|
Year Ended December 31, 2009 |
||||||
|
First Quarter |
$ | 5.16 | $ | 2.22 | ||
|
Second Quarter |
$ | 4.44 | $ | 2.64 | ||
|
Third Quarter |
$ | 7.68 | $ | 3.65 | ||
|
Fourth Quarter |
$ | 7.21 | $ | 4.20 | ||
Do you see why I say that this is a great radar stock?
I will be watching it myself.
Good luck and good trading,
Jeffrey Dean
Editor
I must apologize first for not blogging on Monday and Tuesday, but I was on a ski trip with the family and not thinking about the markets. My alert for Monday (BLGW) is doing very well I’m happy to report.
I jumped back in to my research this morning and came across a great company that has solid prospects: Cytomedix, Inc., a leading developer of biologically active regenerative therapies for wound care, inflammation and angiogenesis:physiological process involving the growth of new blood vessels from pre-existing vessels).
GTF’s AutoloGel System utilizes a unique technology that enables rapid isolation and activation of platelet rich plasma (PRP) from a patient’s own blood. The PRP is subsequently processed to produce a gel for application to the wound bed, re-establishing a balance needed for natural healing to occur. AutoloGel contains growth factors, cytokines and chemokines that are essential for normal wound healing. The AutoloGel System is used at the point-of care and is the only PRP System indicated for use in exuding wounds such as leg ulcers, pressure ulcers, diabetic ulcers and for the management of mechanically or surgically-debrided wounds. The AutoloGel System is the only PRP system that is FDA cleared for the care of wounds.
The company is generating revenues and those revenues are increasing significantly. They have cash-in-the-bank and NO long term debt….always a positive sign for me. With the 2009 capital raise, that bought the company some time to execute on their plan. Based upon what I have seen, they have high expectations for their AutoloGel System.
The chart indicates that the stock is trading near the bottom of its most recent trading range.
I am recommending that traders put GTF on their radar screens. I think the downside risk is low, but the upside is strong.
As always, do your own due diligence.
Good luck and good trading,
Jeffrey Dean
Editor
The last time I blogged Coates International, Ltd. (COTE) was to tell traders to short them (Read it here). And, I was right. I liked the company fundamentally, but thought that the chart was setting it up for a fall. COTE blazed a trail across the markets back in July of ‘09 almost tripling in value from around 40 cents to $1.15. In my earlier blog, I said the following: “The stock might be due for a correction in the near future. Any kind of reasonable “support” for the stock is around the 50 cent mark….so, it could fall a long way!”
Three days later, the stock was at 53 cents! A penny stock, once again!
Now, the chart is turned around. The stock price is depressed and I think that COTE should be watched for a bounce in the near term (and it could be the next hot stock if they start landing some contracts).
Let’s talk about the company: COTE is the creator, developer and manufacturer of the patented Coates spherical rotary valve system (CSRV System) for use in various piston-driven internal combustion engines. It is a technology that has been under development for over 15 years and may now be “ready for its closeup”. The company is claiming that they have created the internal combustion engine of the future. They claim significant benefits compared to the engines of today: Increased Engine Efficiency, Lower Emissions, Reduced Lubrication Requirements, Cheaper to Manufacture, and Adaptable to Multiple Fuel Types. Here is a link to a very informative article done on COTE by Industry Online. I am not an automotive engineer, but it sounds like COTE has something in their CSRV technology.
With the income of a Canadian sale for $10MM ($8 MM of which remains a receivable), its Chinese manufacturing initiatives and several Beta sites that are under negotiation, it might be a good time to put COTE on your trading radar.
The chart looks good for gains!
Another factor to consider about COTE that gives me comfort is the insider ownership. I like the fact that insiders own over 80% of the company. COTE hasn’t been an overnight sensation. My impression is that they have a core group of founders and executives that believe in the mission of the company and are in for the long haul. I hope they get rewarded, because that means I will be rewarded too. I have put COTE on my own personal trading radar with the idea of buying shares in the very near future. I have a call in to the company and will update my blog with any intelligence I gather.
Do your due diligence!
Good luck and good trading,
Jeffrey Dean
Editor-in-Chief
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DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS REPORT. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Neither InvestorSoup.com nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in the mentioned company; nor have they received compensation of any kind for any of the companies listed in this communication. The information contained in our report is not an offer to buy or sell securities. We distribute opinions, comments and information free of charge exclusively to individuals who wish to receive them.
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Beacon Enterprise Solutions Group, Inc.
Trading Symbol: BEAC.OB
Good and Great Morning!
BEAC’s corporate motto should be “Get ‘er done”.
To say that BEAC is just another, run-of-the-mill IT/Telecom firm—would be the furthest thing from the truth! continue
I have known about Adaptec, Inc. for many years…even traded it once or twice. It has mostly fallen off of my radar screen lately because it really hasn’t been that attractive. I was doing screens on Stock Fetcher this morning and I was amazed to see that ADPT was on my screen for stocks that are down 8 days or more. That speaks opportunity to me, but not in the way I normally speak about stocks.
Adaptec, Inc. provides hardware and software data center solutions globally. Founded in 1981, it may not be around very much longer.
If you were going to put a company in your “back pocket” for awhile, this might be the one. I am typically a short-term holder and after the most recent market meltdown, I am going to stick to that philosophy. A long term trade to me is a month. But, it might be a good strategy to put some Adaptec shares away in an account that is long-term.
Why? Because of several simple reasons:
At $3.16 in cash at the latest Q, ADPT is clearly a “free stock”. It is unclear what premium its operations and assets will command, but I don’t think I am going out on a limb by saying that ADPT will sell for more than cash.
Here is a chart that tells the tale of the once-mighty ADPT:
Here is ADPT’s website so you can do your own due diligence.
ADPT may have some bounce in the near term, especially if the stochastics continue to show an oversold signal. However, the pay day for traders in ADPT will be the sale. I am very curious about how the company is valuing itself.
Good luck and good trading,
Jeffrey Dean
Editor-in-Chief
P.S. - I am working out of the home today and I got one of those special stories that every work-at-home parent dreams of. My absolutely adorable 4-yr. old Daughter, Teagan, needed to be in my lap while I wrote this blog. Needless to say, I wasn’t very efficient. Who cares? I am reminded how blessed I am…by her and her three siblings.
Here is a picture so you can see just how blessed I am.
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DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS REPORT. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Neither InvestorSoup.com nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in the mentioned company; nor have they received compensation of any kind for any of the companies listed in this communication. The information contained in our report is not an offer to buy or sell securities. We distribute opinions, comments and information free of charge exclusively to individuals who wish to receive them.